Soon, Next, and Later

The SOON Phase

  • Digital Literacy, Data Privacy, and Algorithmic Bias (sorting the data)
    • Understanding AI and digital technologies for information and service access.
    • Ensuring privacy and mitigating biases in AI algorithms.
    • 2-5 years of integration with business processes.
    • Models start to distribute across cloud and devices to find their correct scale fit.

The NEXT Phase

  • Biome AI, AI Ethics & Safeguarding, and Ambient Education
    • Integration of AI in biological lives and everyday environments.
    • Developing robust ethical frameworks for AI.
    • Creating ambient Education and AI environments facilitated by AI. Education is too slow and monolithic for this to happen sooner.
    • 5-10 years.

The LATER Phase

  • Fully Autonomous Agents and AI as lifelong companions
    • AI operating without human supervision in various sectors. Value globally is arbitraged by these agents in near real-time. A renaissance of the idea of smart efficient markets?
    • Global access to hyperlocal models which match context and personal choices, through personal devices which need not be cloud connected.
    • AI understanding human emotions for psychological, contextual, and business support.
    • No idea… I have no idea…

Human flourishing and expression

  • Celebrating Human Diversity: Now to Later
    • AI understanding and adapting to human experiences and identities.
  • AI supported creativity: Soon to Next
    • AI assisting and leading in art, music, and literature creation.
  • Equity: Now to Next
  • Self Guided Learning for Children: Next to Later
    • Playful, memorable AI education experiences for children, globally.
  • The age of the productive tinker: Later
    • AI revolutionizing industries with specialized gadgets and applications.

Environment

  • Resilience and collaborative management : Soon to Later
    • AI optimizing resource consumption and enhancing waste management.
    • AI’s role in climate change and wildlife conservation.
  • Supporting our place: Later
    • AI monitoring and managing physical health and environmental choices.

Holistic health: Next to Later

  • Personal Health Management: Now to Next
    • Personalized AI systems optimizing individual health. Things like [DermAssist
  • Google Health](https://health.google/consumers/dermassist/) are just the start.
    • Towards Conversational Diagnostic AI is scoring higher than clinicians already.
    • Bill Gates views AI as a transformative tool in healthcare, particularly for enhancing access to education and mental health services.
  • Lifetime Support Structures: Now to Later
    • AI providing lifetime guidance and customized assistance.

The age of the informational Agent

Sectors

Generic Business Efficiency and Productivity Predictions

  • Generative AI enhancing business productivity and efficiency through domain-specific models, optimizing workflows, and integrating multimodal applications.
  • Advantage for employees who intersect with AI tooling, increasing engagement and productivity… but for the benefit of whom Social contract and jobs
  • Most time benefit from things “close to the metal” such as Dev Ops, coding, macros, light financial work, etc. Thing someone “looked up” then did.
  • Predictive analytics and strategic insights transforming decision-making processes (white collar jobs).
  • AI-driven project management which doesn’t sound like much but… Diagrams as Code
  • Enhanced virtual collaborative environments(think reduced travel for the classic complex visual tasks)
  • Remote working; Metaverse and Telecollaboration (notes, minutes, knowledge management tools like this one). This includes radically improved document understanding
  • Business to business mixed reality. I have been doing this since 1997. It’s always going to be big “SOON”, but the signs are improving and I can’t discount it as easily this time.
  • Concentrate on the lowest hanging fruit, most people are not using this, you’ll get huge advantage. Protect your data, let the market develop. If you have a clear business case then do get a consultant and legal advice (£1000/hr). Make a risk matrix, use my GPT if you like.

Consumer Services and Personal Use

  • AI agents managing emails and consumer services, offering personalized and intuitive user experiences.
  • AI in personal finance, health monitoring, and personalized entertainment.
  • AI enhancing environmental controls and home automation systems.

Healthcare and Medicine

  • AI streamlining healthcare administration and patient care, leading to efficient drug discovery and personalized medicine.
  • AI’s expanded role in telemedicine and remote patient monitoring.

Cyber security and Cryptography and Fraud Prevention

  • AI crucial in cybersecurity, adapting to evolving threats and enhancing Politics, Law, Privacy << this feels like it will be warfare
  • Development of AI algorithms for adaptive threat response and robust Distributed Identity authentication processes.

AI in Education and AI

  • AI’s will demonstrate potential in personalised learning and administrative efficiency in educational settings, nobody will use it.
  • Challenges and uneven adoption across institutions due to budget constraints, lack of expertise, and ethical concerns.
  • Individuals who can will use major platforms like OpenAI for education, centralising innovation, and raising privacy and equity issues.
  • Discussions will have to start on AI literacy, and collaborative approaches to ensure ethical and effective AI integration in education.
  • Strategies for educators, technologists, and policymakers to foster an environment where AI benefits learning outcomes and is accessible to all.
  • I think the Rabbit is something I would buy for kids?! (lol, that didn’t work out)

Innovation and Creative Industries

  • AI spurring innovation in coding, product development, and creative fields like storytelling & games.
  • Perhaps less so in image and video.
  • AI increasingly integrated as a collaborative partner in content creation and user experience design.

Information and Data Analysis

  • AI enhancing real-time data analysis and handling unstructured data for deeper insights.
  • AI contributing to environmental and climate modeling for sustainable solutions.

Societal and Ethical Considerations

  • Addressing AI-related societal and ethical challenges, focusing on transparency, fairness, and accountability.
  • Public discourse on AI’s implications on privacy, employment, and societal norms.

Technological Advancements and Applications

  • AI hardware advancements leading to more energy-efficient and powerful processing capabilities.
  • The beginning of AI Agents
    • intentional UX.
    • Having your personal agent, or it’s agents, do the online work for you,
    • Bringing back distilled updates to a locally or securely hosted core agent.
    • This will have staggering repercussions for the web as we know it.
    • This is the old Death of the Internet conspiracy theory, but happening.
  • Semantic and natural language programming
    • In a future where intentional programming user experience (UX) evolves to its next stage, we could envision a scenario where multimodal and language models interface directly with bytecode, driven by semantic instructions from product owners. This approach would represent a significant leap from current programming paradigms, emphasizing a more intuitive, less syntax-heavy interaction with software development.
    • 1. Semantic Instruction and Bytecode Manipulation:
      • In this future, product owners or non-technical stakeholders could provide instructions in natural language or through other intuitive interfaces.
      • These instructions would be semantically analyzed by advanced language models, capable of understanding the intent and context of the request.
      • The language models would then translate these semantic instructions into bytecode – the lowest-level code executed by the computer’s processor.
      • This process bypasses traditional programming languages, allowing for more direct and efficient creation or modification of software functionalities.
    • 2. Multimodal Interfaces:
      • Multimodal interfaces, incorporating voice, text, and possibly visual or gestural inputs, would make the process more accessible and intuitive.
      • These interfaces would cater to a diverse range of users and preferences, allowing instructions to be given in various formats.
    • 3. Enhanced Collaboration and Iteration:
      • By enabling product owners to directly communicate their requirements to the software, the gap between idea conception and implementation narrows significantly.
      • This direct communication loop would facilitate rapid iterations, as changes can be implemented and reviewed in real-time or near-real-time.
    • 4. Automated Testing and Validation:
      • The system would incorporate sophisticated automated testing mechanisms.
      • As soon as the bytecode is generated or modified, a series of automated tests could run to validate the functionality, ensuring that the changes meet the specified requirements and do not introduce bugs or vulnerabilities.
      • Product owners could also perform their own tests on the resultant functionality, using user-friendly testing tools integrated into this system.

Less Optimistic

  • This is taken from Sam Hammond who I have discovered recently. All his stuff is summarised and linked here.

Random Bonus Podcasts

https://open.spotify.com/episode/3KrLw4xNAiEeylzm7gg0qr?si=e59f027065884c33